Steven Kwan has a 40.3% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 3.2% higher than Kwan's typical expectations, and 8.5% higher than batters facing Wantz.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 40.3% | 23.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 11.5% |
Kwan | +3.2 | -0.7 | +0.6 | -1.0 | -0.3 | +3.9 | +0.1 |
Wantz | +8.5 | +2.8 | -0.9 | -0.5 | +4.2 | +5.7 | -13.3 |
Steven Kwan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Kwan has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Steven Kwan has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
5.5% of Steven Kwan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 15.3% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Steven Kwan has 2 plate appearances against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.41 | 0.212 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-09-07 | Flyout | 99% | |||
2023-05-13 | Single | 41% | 59% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.