Matchup Machine

Steven Kwan

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matchup for Taj Bradley

426th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

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Taj Bradley

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matchup for Steven Kwan

324th out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Extreme advantage for Kwan
9

Model Prediction

Steven Kwan has a 36.6% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.5% lower than Kwan's typical expectations, and 5.9% higher than batters facing Bradley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.6%25.0%1.8%5.1%18.1%11.6%10.9%
Kwan-0.5+1.20.0+0.2+1.0-1.7-0.5
Bradley+5.9+2.4-0.8+0.3+3.0+3.5-15.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Steven Kwan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kwan has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Steven Kwan has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

5.5% of Steven Kwan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 15.3% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -15.3% +3.2% 3%         Walk +4.3% +0.4% 35%         In Play +11.0% -3.5% 39%         On Base +13.3% -1.3% 31%         Hit +9.0% -1.6% 14%         Single +4.7% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +5.1% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.9% +1.2%

History

Steven Kwan has 6 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual651001210.200
Expected From Contact →0.910.000.280.630.182
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-12Single3%43%54%
2024-07-12Lineout4%1%94%
2024-07-12Flyout21%19%61%
2023-09-03Strikeout
2023-09-03Strikeout
2023-09-03Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.