Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Steven Kwan

matchup for Graham Ashcraft

423rd out of 436 (Worst 3%)

Graham Ashcraft

matchup for Steven Kwan

19th out of 567 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Kwan

Steven Kwan has a 44.2% chance of reaching base vs Graham Ashcraft, which is 7.0% higher than Kwan's typical expectations, and 7.3% higher than batters facing Ashcraft.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	44.2%	28.3%	1.4%	4.5%	22.5%	15.9%	7.6%
Kwan	+7.0	+4.5	-0.4	-0.4	+5.3	+2.6	-3.8
Ashcraft	+7.3	+1.8	-0.9	-0.6	+3.3	+5.5	-8.7

Steven Kwan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Graham Ashcraft is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kwan has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Graham Ashcraft throws a Cutter 51% of the time. Steven Kwan has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

51%

Slider (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

15%

14% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Steven Kwan has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-5%

30% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Steven Kwan has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 30%

+21%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Minimal Break 24%

+14%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

5.5% of Steven Kwan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 15.3% lower than the league average. Graham Ashcraft strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -15.3% -6.0% 3%

Walk +4.3% -0.9% 35%

In Play +11.0% +6.9% 39%

On Base +13.3% +7.5% 31%

Hit +9.0% +8.4% 14%

Single +4.7% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +5.1% +4.7% 3%

Home Run -0.9% -0.6%

37.3% of Steven Kwan's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Graham Ashcraft induces Standard Grounders at a 41.4% rate, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.9% +7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.4% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer +7.7% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.1% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.1% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -2.1% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.5% -3.7% 3%

Pop up -0.8% -0.5%

6.4% of Steven Kwan's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 17.9% lower than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +12.1% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +7.6% +3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -17.9% -1.4%

10.8% of Steven Kwan's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.2% +3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.3% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.6% +0.7% 18%

7 to 18° +2.3% 0.0% 15%

19 to 28° 0.0% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -2.6% 7%

39 to 50° -0.1% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° -0.9% -1.1%

Steven Kwan has 4 plate appearances against Graham Ashcraft in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 4.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			2.50	0.00	0.02	2.48			0.625

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-15	Single		1%	84%	15%
2023-08-15	Lineout			74%	25%
2023-08-15	Single			86%	14%
2023-08-15	GIDP			4%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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