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Steven Kwan

matchup for Cole Ragans

428th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

Cole Ragans

matchup for Steven Kwan

262nd out of 567 (Best 47%)

Extreme advantage for Kwan

Steven Kwan has a 38.9% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 2.3% higher than Kwan's typical expectations, and 8.6% higher than batters facing Ragans.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.9%	20.0%	1.6%	4.2%	14.2%	18.9%	14.1%
Kwan	+2.3	-3.5	-0.2	-0.7	-2.6	+5.8	+1.8
Ragans	+8.6	+2.1	-0.9	-0.2	+3.2	+6.5	-17.7

Steven Kwan is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kwan has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Steven Kwan has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

42%

Changeup (L)

24%

Cutter (L)

13%

Slider (L)

10%

Kn-Curve (L)

21% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Steven Kwan has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Steven Kwan has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

Offspeed (L) 24%

+12%

Very Fast Velo 14%

+11%

High Ride 20%

+10%

5.7% of Steven Kwan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 15.0% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -15.0% +4.4% 3%

Walk +4.1% +1.2% 35%

In Play +10.9% -5.6% 39%

On Base +11.9% -1.8% 31%

Hit +7.7% -3.0% 14%

Single +4.2% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +4.7% -1.2% 3%

Home Run -1.2% -0.3%

37.1% of Steven Kwan's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. Cole Ragans induces Standard Grounders at a 30.5% rate, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +1.9% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.7% -3.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.2% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer +7.6% +1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.1% -2.3% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.5% -2.2% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +1.4%

6.5% of Steven Kwan's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 17.8% lower than the league average. 18.7% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.7% +3.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +11.9% -0.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +7.4% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.1% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -17.8% -5.6%

10.7% of Steven Kwan's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.9% +3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.2% -4.2% 8%

1 to 6° -1.5% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° +2.4% +3.0% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% -5.3% 11%

29 to 38° -0.7% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° -0.1% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° -0.8% +1.6%

Steven Kwan has 12 plate appearances against Cole Ragans in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 11 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	11	4	0	0	4	1	1	0.364
Expected From Contact →			4.13	0.00	0.27	3.85			0.375

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Groundout
2025-03-27	Sac Bunt
2025-03-27	Single
2024-08-26	Walk
2024-08-26	Flyout			1%	98%
2024-08-26	Groundout			27%	73%
2024-06-29	Single		2%	92%	7%
2024-06-29	Strikeout
2024-06-29	Single			73%	26%
2022-09-25	Lineout		23%	3%	74%
2022-09-25	Flyout				100%
2022-09-25	Single			89%	10%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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