Matchup Machine

Steven Kwan

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

428th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Steven Kwan

282nd out of 567 (Best 51%)

Extreme advantage for Kwan
9

Model Prediction

Steven Kwan has a 38.9% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.8% higher than Kwan's typical expectations, and 6.9% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.9%21.6%1.7%3.9%16.1%17.3%11.4%
Kwan+1.8-2.2-0.1-1.0-1.1+4.0+0.0
Schmidt+6.9+2.0-0.7-0.2+2.9+4.9-13.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Steven Kwan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kwan has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Steven Kwan has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

5.5% of Steven Kwan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 15.3% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -15.3% +0.3% 3%         Walk +4.3% +1.6% 35%         In Play +11.0% -1.9% 39%         On Base +13.3% -0.3% 31%         Hit +9.0% -2.0% 14%         Single +4.7% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +5.1% -0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.9% 0.0%

History

Steven Kwan has 11 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 10 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual11104004210.400
Expected From Contact →3.390.000.412.970.339
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-10-17Flyout100%
2024-10-17Lineout28%10%62%
2024-10-17Walk
2024-04-13Strikeout
2024-04-13Strikeout
2024-04-13Single1%92%7%
2023-05-03Flyout1%1%97%
2023-05-03Single18%82%
2023-05-03Single3%92%5%
2023-04-12Single1%84%15%
2023-04-12Lineout6%94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.