Matchup Machine

      Steven Kwan

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      matchup for Felix Bautista

      434th out of 436 (Worst 1%)

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      Felix Bautista

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      matchup for Steven Kwan

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Extreme advantage for Kwan
      9

      Model Prediction

      Steven Kwan has a 41.2% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 4.6% higher than Kwan's typical expectations, and 10.8% higher than batters facing Bautista.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Steven Kwan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kwan has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 64% of the time. Steven Kwan has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      64%
         Splitter (R)
      25%
         Slider (R)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      5.9% of Steven Kwan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.7% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 24.4% of the batters he faces, which is 15.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.7% +15.9% 3%         Walk +4.2% +3.9% 35%         In Play +10.5% -19.7% 39%         On Base +12.6% -8.7% 31%         Hit +8.3% -12.6% 14%         Single +4.4% -5.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.8% -5.3% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -1.5%

      History

      Steven Kwan has 1 plate appearance against Felix Bautista in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-05-30Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.