Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Steven Kwan

matchup for Pablo Lopez

429th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

Pablo Lopez

matchup for Steven Kwan

298th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Extreme advantage for Kwan

Steven Kwan has a 38.0% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 0.8% higher than Kwan's typical expectations, and 7.4% higher than batters facing Lopez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.0%	27.6%	1.7%	4.5%	21.5%	10.4%	12.2%
Kwan	+0.8	+3.8	-0.1	-0.5	+4.3	-2.9	+0.8
Lopez	+7.4	+3.9	-0.9	-0.1	+4.8	+3.5	-13.4

Steven Kwan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Kwan has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Steven Kwan has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

25%

Slider (R)

13%

Curve (R)

10%

Sinker (R)

8% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Steven Kwan has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

25% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Steven Kwan has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 25%

+14%

Extreme Break 26%

+11%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

5.5% of Steven Kwan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 15.3% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -15.3% +4.2% 3%

Walk +4.3% -2.5% 35%

In Play +11.0% -1.7% 39%

On Base +13.3% -1.8% 31%

Hit +9.0% +0.7% 14%

Single +4.7% +0.3% 13%

2B / 3B +5.1% +0.8% 3%

Home Run -0.9% -0.4%

37.3% of Steven Kwan's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Pablo Lopez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.8% rate, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.9% +4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.4% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer +7.7% +1.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.1% -0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.1% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.1% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.5% -1.7% 3%

Pop up -0.8% -0.2%

6.4% of Steven Kwan's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 17.9% lower than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +12.1% +4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +7.6% -0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -17.9% -1.3%

10.8% of Steven Kwan's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.2% +3.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.3% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.6% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +2.3% -1.8% 15%

19 to 28° 0.0% +0.7% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° -0.1% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° -0.9% -0.5%

Steven Kwan has 14 plate appearances against Pablo Lopez in the last 3 years. He is 7 for 14 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	14	7	0	1	6	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			6.40	0.00	0.99	5.41			0.457

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-04	Double		78%	18%	4%
2024-04-04	Flyout		2%		97%
2024-04-04	Single		5%	73%	22%
2023-09-04	Groundout			57%	43%
2023-09-04	Flyout				99%
2023-09-04	Single			92%	7%
2023-09-04	Groundout			1%	98%
2023-08-29	Groundout			24%	75%
2023-08-29	Single		5%	61%	34%
2023-08-29	Single		2%	81%	16%
2023-08-29	Single		4%	33%	63%
2023-06-01	Single			84%	15%
2023-06-01	Groundout			13%	87%
2023-06-01	Pop Out				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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