Matchup Machine

Steven Kwan

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matchup for Austin Gomber

329th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Steven Kwan

365th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Strong advantage for Kwan
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Model Prediction

Steven Kwan has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 3.3% lower than Kwan's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.9%25.9%1.9%6.5%17.5%8.0%8.6%
Kwan-3.3+2.0+0.1+1.6+0.4-5.3-2.8
Gomber+2.10.0-1.5-0.2+1.6+2.2-9.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Steven Kwan is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Kwan has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Steven Kwan has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

5.5% of Steven Kwan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 15.3% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -15.3% -3.3% 3%         Walk +4.3% -2.5% 35%         In Play +11.0% +5.9% 39%         On Base +13.3% +0.6% 31%         Hit +9.0% +3.1% 14%         Single +4.7% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +5.1% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.9% +0.3%

History

Steven Kwan has 3 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual333012001.000
Expected From Contact →2.500.000.182.320.833
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-24Single68%31%
2023-04-24Double16%77%7%
2023-04-24Single2%87%11%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.