Matchup Machine

Steven Kwan

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matchup for Ross Stripling

155th out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Ross Stripling

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matchup for Steven Kwan

384th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Strong advantage for Kwan
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Model Prediction

Steven Kwan has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 3.8% lower than Kwan's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Stripling.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%26.8%1.7%6.1%19.0%6.5%6.0%
Kwan-3.8+3.0-0.1+1.2+1.9-6.8-5.4
Stripling-1.5-2.2-1.0+0.1-1.3+0.6-6.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Steven Kwan is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kwan has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Steven Kwan has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
19%
   Kn-Curve (R)
16%
   Sinker (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

5.5% of Steven Kwan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 15.3% lower than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -15.3% +3.2% 3%         Walk +4.3% -2.9% 35%         In Play +11.0% -0.3% 39%         On Base +13.3% -3.9% 31%         Hit +9.0% -0.9% 14%         Single +4.7% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +5.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -0.1%

History

Steven Kwan has 8 plate appearances against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 8 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual881001100.125
Expected From Contact →1.820.000.531.290.228
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-21Lineout21%16%63%
2024-04-21Lineout4%8%89%
2024-04-21Groundout26%73%
2024-03-29Single66%34%
2024-03-29Strikeout
2024-03-29Groundout10%90%
2022-05-07Groundout3%2%96%
2022-05-07Flyout25%1%74%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.