Matchup Machine

Steven Kwan

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matchup for Martin Perez

409th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Steven Kwan

161st out of 567 (Best 29%)

Extreme advantage for Kwan
10

Model Prediction

Steven Kwan has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.5% higher than Kwan's typical expectations, and 4.0% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.6%26.6%2.1%5.3%19.2%12.0%10.0%
Kwan+1.5+2.8+0.3+0.4+2.1-1.3-1.4
Perez+4.0+1.3-1.0-0.1+2.3+2.7-8.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Steven Kwan is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kwan has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Steven Kwan has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

5.5% of Steven Kwan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 15.3% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -15.3% -6.1% 3%         Walk +4.3% -0.3% 35%         In Play +11.0% +6.4% 39%         On Base +13.3% +5.9% 31%         Hit +9.0% +6.3% 14%         Single +4.7% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +5.1% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -0.6%

History

Steven Kwan has 4 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 4 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual443102000.750
Expected From Contact →2.590.840.131.610.647
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-16Single86%14%
2023-07-16Home Run84%12%4%
2023-07-16Forceout13%86%
2023-07-16Single62%38%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.