Matchup Machine

Addison Barger

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matchup for Aaron Nola

18th out of 436 (Best 5%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Addison Barger

491st out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Strong advantage for Nola
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Model Prediction

Addison Barger has a 24.7% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 4.1% lower than Barger's typical expectations, and 4.7% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.7%18.8%2.4%5.2%11.2%5.9%40.3%
Barger-4.1-1.4-0.1+0.7-2.0-2.8+10.7
Nola-4.7-3.6-0.6-1.1-1.9-1.2+9.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Addison Barger hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Barger does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Addison Barger hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Addison Barger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +1.9% +6.3% 6%         Walk -1.1% -2.8% 52%         In Play -0.8% -3.5% 39%         On Base -3.1% -4.8% 31%         Hit -2.0% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.4% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years