Matchup Machine

Addison Barger

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matchup for Jon Gray

92nd out of 436 (Best 22%)

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Jon Gray

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matchup for Addison Barger

82nd out of 567 (Best 15%)

Moderate advantage for Barger
4

Model Prediction

Addison Barger has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Jon Gray, which is 2.6% higher than Barger's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Gray.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%25.2%3.0%4.9%17.3%6.3%20.4%
Barger+2.6+5.0+0.5+0.5+4.0-2.5-9.2
Gray-1.6-1.2-0.1-0.8-0.3-0.4+3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Addison Barger hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jon Gray is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Barger does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jon Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Addison Barger has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
47%
   Slider (R)
38%
   Changeup (R)
9%
   Curve (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Addison Barger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Jon Gray strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +1.9% +3.8% 6%         Walk -1.1% -1.2% 52%         In Play -0.8% -2.6% 39%         On Base -3.1% -0.6% 31%         Hit -2.0% +0.6% 14%         Single -1.4% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years