Matchup Machine

Addison Barger

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

39th out of 436 (Best 10%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Addison Barger

235th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Leans in favor of Anderson
2

Model Prediction

Addison Barger has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.2% higher than Barger's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.1%19.9%2.9%4.7%12.3%9.2%26.8%
Barger+0.2-0.3+0.4+0.2-0.9+0.5-2.8
Anderson-4.6-2.4+0.0-0.5-1.8-2.3+5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Addison Barger hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Barger doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Addison Barger hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Addison Barger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +1.9% -1.9% 6%         Walk -1.1% -1.0% 52%         In Play -0.8% +2.9% 39%         On Base -3.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.0% +0.9% 14%         Single -1.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.2%

History

Addison Barger has 5 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551001100.200
Expected From Contact →0.620.000.330.290.125
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-25Single32%19%49%
2024-08-25Groundout10%90%
2024-08-14Flyout99%
2024-08-14Strikeout
2024-08-14Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.