Matchup Machine

Richie Palacios

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

162nd out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Richie Palacios

331st out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Leans in favor of Schmidt
2

Model Prediction

Richie Palacios has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.0% higher than Palacios's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%16.3%1.4%3.1%11.8%16.0%23.1%
Palacios+1.0-2.9-0.1-1.1-1.6+3.9+0.2
Schmidt+0.4-3.3-1.0-1.0-1.3+3.6-1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Richie Palacios is worse vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Palacios has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Richie Palacios has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

11.2% of Richie Palacios's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.7% +0.3% 2%         Walk +4.5% +1.6% 39%         In Play +1.2% -1.9% 39%         On Base +2.4% -0.3% 31%         Hit -2.1% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.3% 0.0%

History

Richie Palacios has 5 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552101000.400
Expected From Contact →1.950.930.180.840.390
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-10Single5%83%12%
2024-05-10Flyout100%
2024-04-19Hit By Pitch
2024-04-19Home Run90%8%2%
2024-04-19Flyout2%5%92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.