Matchup Machine

Max Schuemann

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matchup for C. Hernandez

227th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Carlos Hernandez

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matchup for Max Schuemann

110th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Moderate advantage for Schuemann
4

Model Prediction

Max Schuemann has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 2.0% higher than Schuemann's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%20.0%2.8%5.6%11.6%12.7%23.5%
Schuemann+2.0-0.1+0.7+0.8-1.7+2.2-4.7
Hernandez+0.4-1.5-0.3-0.2-1.0+1.9-0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Max Schuemann is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Schuemann has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Max Schuemann has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of Max Schuemann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +3.0% -1.8% 4%         Walk +2.2% +2.0% 43%         In Play -5.1% -0.2% 39%         On Base +0.0% +0.9% 31%         Hit -2.1% -1.1% 14%         Single -0.7% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.3% +0.6%

History

Max Schuemann has 1 plate appearance against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.040.000.040.000.042
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-18Lineout4%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.