Matchup Machine

Max Schuemann

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matchup for Tarik Skubal

66th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Tarik Skubal

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matchup for Max Schuemann

553rd out of 567 (Worst 3%)

Extreme advantage for Skubal
9

Model Prediction

Max Schuemann has a 23.8% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 6.8% lower than Schuemann's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Skubal.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.8%18.3%1.7%3.4%13.2%5.5%37.4%
Schuemann-6.8-1.8-0.4-1.40.0-5.0+9.1
Skubal-1.4-1.7-0.5-0.6-0.5+0.3+7.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Max Schuemann is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Schuemann doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Max Schuemann hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Sinker (L)
16%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of Max Schuemann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +3.0% +6.3% 4%         Walk +2.2% -3.3% 43%         In Play -5.1% -3.0% 39%         On Base +0.0% -5.6% 31%         Hit -2.1% -2.3% 14%         Single -0.7% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -1.3% 0.0%

History

Max Schuemann has 2 plate appearances against Tarik Skubal in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-06Strikeout
2024-09-06Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.