Matchup Machine

Max Schuemann

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matchup for Jalen Beeks

120th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Jalen Beeks

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matchup for Max Schuemann

180th out of 567 (Best 33%)

Leans in favor of Schuemann
2

Model Prediction

Max Schuemann has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 2.2% higher than Schuemann's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Beeks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.9%20.8%1.7%4.4%14.7%12.1%20.9%
Schuemann+2.2+0.7-0.4-0.4+1.5+1.6-7.4
Beeks-0.6-3.3-0.8-0.5-2.0+2.7+2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Max Schuemann is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Schuemann doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Max Schuemann hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Changeup (L)
34%
   Cutter (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of Max Schuemann's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +3.0% -2.5% 4%         Walk +2.2% -0.1% 43%         In Play -5.1% +2.6% 39%         On Base +0.0% +0.4% 31%         Hit -2.1% +0.5% 14%         Single -0.7% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -1.3% -1.3%

History

Max Schuemann has 1 plate appearance against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111001001.000
Expected From Contact →0.930.000.440.490.934
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-23Single44%49%7%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.