Matchup Machine

Dairon Blanco

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

50th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for Dairon Blanco

402nd out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Bibee
5

Model Prediction

Dairon Blanco has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 1.7% lower than Blanco's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%21.1%2.8%4.3%14.1%6.2%31.6%
Blanco-1.7-0.4-0.1-0.2-0.1-1.2+3.3
Bibee-4.6-1.90.0-1.0-0.9-2.7+5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Dairon Blanco is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Blanco doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Dairon Blanco hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

19.1% of Dairon Blanco's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% higher than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout +1.3% +3.2% 6%         Walk -1.1% -1.5% 49%         In Play -0.3% -1.7% 39%         On Base -6.4% -0.6% 31%         Hit -5.4% +0.9% 14%         Single -3.1% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.6% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.3%

History

Dairon Blanco has 2 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.120.000.010.110.058
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-06Forceout10%89%
2023-07-06Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.