Matchup Machine

Dairon Blanco

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matchup for Elvis Peguero

77th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Elvis Peguero

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matchup for Dairon Blanco

246th out of 567 (Best 44%)

Leans in favor of Peguero
1

Model Prediction

Dairon Blanco has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Elvis Peguero, which is 2.6% higher than Blanco's typical expectations, and 3.4% lower than batters facing Peguero.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%23.4%2.0%3.6%17.7%8.2%23.4%
Blanco+2.6+1.7-0.8-0.8+3.4+0.9-4.0
Peguero-3.4-1.0+0.2-0.6-0.5-2.5+1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Dairon Blanco is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Elvis Peguero is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Blanco doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvis Peguero throws a Slider 52% of the time. Dairon Blanco hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
48%

Contact and Outcomes

19.0% of Dairon Blanco's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Elvis Peguero strikes out 12.1% of the batters he faces, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout +1.2% -4.6% 6%         Walk -1.1% +2.1% 49%         In Play -0.1% +2.5% 39%         On Base -6.6% +4.9% 31%         Hit -5.5% +2.7% 14%         Single -3.1% +1.9% 13%         2B / 3B -2.6% +2.3% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -1.4%

History

Dairon Blanco has 1 plate appearance against Elvis Peguero in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.080.000.000.080.080
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-06Fielders Choice8%92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.