Matchup Machine

Dairon Blanco

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matchup for Seth Lugo

104th out of 436 (Best 25%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Dairon Blanco

271st out of 567 (Best 49%)

Leans in favor of Lugo
2

Model Prediction

Dairon Blanco has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.1% higher than Blanco's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%23.6%2.9%4.6%16.1%6.5%29.2%
Blanco+1.1+1.9+0.0+0.2+1.7-0.8+1.8
Lugo-2.4-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.2-2.0+4.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Dairon Blanco is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Blanco doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Dairon Blanco hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.0% of Dairon Blanco's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout +1.2% +0.8% 6%         Walk -1.1% -2.3% 49%         In Play -0.1% +1.4% 39%         On Base -6.6% -0.4% 31%         Hit -5.5% +1.9% 14%         Single -3.1% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -2.6% +1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years