matchup for Garrett Crochet
matchup for Nick Loftin
5
Nick Loftin has a 27.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 2.5% lower than Loftin's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Crochet.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 27.1% | 21.6% | 1.4% | 5.9% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 24.7% |
| Loftin | -2.5 | -0.2 | -0.2 | +1.1 | -1.0 | -2.4 | +8.5 |
| Crochet | -0.3 | +0.7 | -1.0 | +0.8 | +0.9 | -1.1 | -10.5 |
Nick Loftin is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Loftin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
58%
Cutter (L)
18%
Slider (L)
16%
Changeup (L)
6%
9% of Garrett Crochet's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
9%
+4%
Mid Challenge
15%
+4%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
2%
-4%
34% of Garrett Crochet's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
34%
+30%
Fastball (L)
78%
+23%
Medium Break
34%
+15%
Medium Ride
26%
+12%
11.4% of Nick Loftin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
20%
Strikeout
-9.5%
+9.4%
5%
Walk
+1.9%
-1.3%
49%
In Play
+7.6%
-8.1%
39%
On Base
+2.8%
-3.9%
31%
Hit
+0.9%
-2.5%
14%
Single
+1.2%
-1.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.6%
-1.1%
3%
Home Run
-1.9%
+0.1%
38.8% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet induces Standard Grounders at a 38.5% rate, which is 4.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.8%
+0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
+4.4%
+4.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
-7.8%
+1.1%
14%
Low Screamer
+11.7%
-4.6%
9%
Rising Liner
-4.1%
-1.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.4%
+1.1%
3%
Likely Homer
-3.6%
+1.1%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
-0.8%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.2%
-1.1%
3%
Pop up
+3.1%
-0.4%
2.9% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.4% lower than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Crochet are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+18.2%
+2.2%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.8%
-1.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+2.1%
+0.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.9%
-3.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
-21.4%
+2.8%
18.4% of Nick Loftin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. 12.3% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Crochet are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+4.5%
+4.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.1%
-1.7%
8%
1 to 6°
-7.4%
+1.7%
18%
7 to 18°
-4.2%
-3.3%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.8%
-1.1%
11%
29 to 38°
+7.0%
+0.8%
7%
39 to 50°
+6.0%
-0.7%
8%
Above 50°
-3.1%
-0.5%
Nick Loftin has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 0.293 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-04-07 | Single | 58% | 42% | ||
| 2024-04-07 | Flyout | 100% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
