Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Loftin

matchup for G. Cleavinger

252nd out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Garrett Cleavinger

matchup for Nick Loftin

173rd out of 567 (Best 31%)

Moderate advantage for Loftin

Nick Loftin has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Cleavinger, which is 2.3% higher than Loftin's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Cleavinger.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.9%	21.2%	1.6%	4.9%	14.6%	10.7%	15.9%
Loftin	+2.3	-0.6	0.0	+0.1	-0.7	+2.9	-0.2
Cleavinger	-1.0	-0.4	-0.9	+0.5	+0.0	-0.6	-9.2

Nick Loftin is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Cleavinger is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Loftin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Garrett Cleavinger throws a Slider 41% of the time. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

41%

4-Seam (L)

32%

Cutter (L)

13%

Sinker (L)

12%

14% of Garrett Cleavinger's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-4%

21% of Garrett Cleavinger's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 21%

+17%

Breaking (L) 42%

+12%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

Medium Break 18%

+10%

11.4% of Nick Loftin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -9.5% +4.2% 5%

Walk +1.9% +3.9% 49%

In Play +7.6% -8.1% 39%

On Base +2.8% +3.2% 31%

Hit +0.9% -0.7% 14%

Single +1.2% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% -0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.9% +0.3%

38.8% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger induces Standard Grounders at a 37.6% rate, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.4% +3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer +11.7% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -4.1% -2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +1.2% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.2% +1.3% 3%

Pop up +3.1% +1.0%

2.9% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.4% lower than the league average. 20.6% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Cleavinger are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +18.2% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.8% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.1% -3.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.9% +3.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -21.4% -3.7%

18.4% of Nick Loftin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Cleavinger are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.5% +1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.1% +2.2% 8%

1 to 6° -7.4% -2.3% 18%

7 to 18° -4.2% -3.7% 15%

19 to 28° -0.8% +1.8% 11%

29 to 38° +7.0% +1.3% 7%

39 to 50° +6.0% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° -3.1% -0.8%

Nick Loftin has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Cleavinger in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04			0.043

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-26	Groundout			4%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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