matchup for Jake Latz
matchup for Nick Loftin
4
Nick Loftin has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 2.4% higher than Loftin's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Latz.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.0% | 20.6% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% |
| Loftin | +2.4 | -1.2 | +0.3 | +0.3 | -1.8 | +3.6 | -2.4 |
| Latz | -2.4 | -0.1 | -0.8 | +0.2 | +0.5 | -2.3 | -9.4 |
Nick Loftin is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Loftin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
50%
Changeup (L)
23%
Slider (L)
22%
Curve (L)
5%
7% of Jake Latz's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Fringe Miss
15%
+2%
Non-Competitive
14%
+2%
Likely Ball
21%
+2%
Mid Challenge
12%
+0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Edge Painter
15%
-2%
Meatball
3%
-2%
Weak Challenge
6%
-3%
42% of Jake Latz's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Break
42%
+23%
Fast Velo
32%
+22%
High Ride
31%
+21%
Offspeed (L)
23%
+10%
11.4% of Nick Loftin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
20%
Strikeout
-9.5%
-1.2%
5%
Walk
+1.9%
+6.8%
49%
In Play
+7.6%
-5.6%
39%
On Base
+2.8%
+1.5%
31%
Hit
+0.9%
-5.2%
14%
Single
+1.2%
-3.5%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.6%
-3.1%
3%
Home Run
-1.9%
+1.4%
38.5% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Jake Latz induces Standard Grounders at a 29.1% rate, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.8%
+0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
+4.1%
-5.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
-7.8%
+0.6%
14%
Low Screamer
+11.8%
-3.4%
9%
Rising Liner
-4.1%
-4.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.4%
+0.5%
3%
Likely Homer
-3.6%
+0.0%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
+0.9%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.1%
+3.3%
3%
Pop up
+3.1%
+7.7%
2.9% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.4% lower than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Jake Latz are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+18.4%
+1.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.7%
-1.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.6%
-1.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+2.0%
+2.1%
24%
Above 100 mph
-21.4%
-0.5%
18.5% of Nick Loftin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Jake Latz are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+4.0%
-2.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.0%
-5.3%
8%
1 to 6°
-7.4%
+2.5%
18%
7 to 18°
-4.1%
-4.2%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.7%
+1.8%
11%
29 to 38°
+7.1%
+0.2%
7%
39 to 50°
+6.1%
-2.6%
8%
Above 50°
-3.1%
+10.0%
Nick Loftin has 1 plate appearance against Jake Latz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-22 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
