Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Loftin

matchup for Luis Severino

175th out of 436 (Best 41%)

Luis Severino

matchup for Nick Loftin

409th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Moderate advantage for Severino

Nick Loftin has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 1.0% lower than Loftin's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Severino.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.6%	21.1%	1.3%	4.1%	15.8%	7.5%	16.1%
Loftin	-1.0	-0.6	-0.3	-0.7	+0.4	-0.4	0.0
Severino	-1.5	-0.1	-1.2	0.0	+1.0	-1.3	-7.1

Nick Loftin is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Loftin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

14%

Sinker (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

27% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 27%

+19%

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Medium Ride 24%

+10%

11.4% of Nick Loftin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -9.5% +0.9% 5%

Walk +1.9% -1.1% 49%

In Play +7.6% +0.2% 39%

On Base +2.8% -0.9% 31%

Hit +0.9% +0.2% 14%

Single +1.2% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% +0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.9% -0.5%

38.8% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Luis Severino induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.4% +1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +11.7% +3.2% 9%

Rising Liner -4.1% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.2% -1.4% 3%

Pop up +3.1% -0.7%

2.9% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.4% lower than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +18.2% +2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.8% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.1% -3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.9% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -21.4% -0.5%

18.4% of Nick Loftin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%