Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Loftin

matchup for Max Fried

225th out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Max Fried

matchup for Nick Loftin

295th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Leans in favor of Fried

Nick Loftin has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 2.0% higher than Loftin's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Fried.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.6%	24.2%	1.2%	4.5%	18.4%	7.4%	20.0%
Loftin	+2.0	+2.4	-0.4	-0.3	+3.1	-0.4	+3.9
Fried	-0.8	+1.1	-0.9	-0.1	+2.0	-1.8	-6.4

Nick Loftin is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Loftin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

35%

Curve (L)

23%

Slider (L)

17%

Sinker (L)

13%

Changeup (L)

11%

13% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Meatball 1%

-4%

23% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 23%

+19%

Slow Lob 18%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

Breaking (L) 40%

+11%

11.4% of Nick Loftin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -9.5% +3.0% 5%

Walk +1.9% -1.8% 49%

In Play +7.6% -1.2% 39%

On Base +2.8% +0.3% 31%

Hit +0.9% +2.0% 14%

Single +1.2% +1.7% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% +1.7% 3%

Home Run -1.9% -1.4%

38.8% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Max Fried induces Standard Grounders at a 45.7% rate, which is 11.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.4% +11.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +11.7% -1.3% 9%

Rising Liner -4.1% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.2% -6.5% 3%

Pop up +3.1% -0.7%

2.9% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.4% lower than the league average. 20.8% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +18.2% +4.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.8% +3.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.1% -3.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.9% +0.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -21.4% -3.5%

18.4% of Nick Loftin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%