Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Loftin

matchup for Seth Lugo

101st out of 436 (Best 24%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Nick Loftin

348th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Lugo

Nick Loftin has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.7% lower than Loftin's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.8%	23.4%	1.5%	5.3%	16.6%	5.4%	18.1%
Loftin	-0.7	+1.7	-0.1	+0.5	+1.2	-2.4	+1.9
Lugo	-3.6	-0.5	-1.6	+0.4	+0.7	-3.1	-6.8

Nick Loftin is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Loftin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

11.4% of Nick Loftin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -9.5% +0.8% 5%

Walk +1.9% -2.3% 49%

In Play +7.6% +1.4% 39%

On Base +2.8% -0.4% 31%

Hit +0.9% +1.9% 14%

Single +1.2% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -1.9% +0.1%

38.8% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.4% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +11.7% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -4.1% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.2% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +3.1% -2.2%

2.9% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.4% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +18.2% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.8% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.1% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.9% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -21.4% -1.6%

18.4% of Nick Loftin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%