Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Loftin

matchup for Aaron Nola

195th out of 436 (Best 45%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Nick Loftin

400th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Moderate advantage for Nola

Nick Loftin has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.2% lower than Loftin's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.3%	21.8%	1.8%	6.7%	13.4%	5.5%	21.7%
Loftin	-2.2	+0.1	+0.2	+1.9	-2.0	-2.3	+5.6
Nola	-2.2	-0.5	-1.2	+0.5	+0.2	-1.6	-9.2

Nick Loftin is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Loftin does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

11.4% of Nick Loftin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -9.5% +6.3% 5%

Walk +1.9% -2.8% 49%

In Play +7.6% -3.5% 39%

On Base +2.8% -4.8% 31%

Hit +0.9% -2.0% 14%

Single +1.2% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -1.9% -0.5%

38.8% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.4% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +11.7% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -4.1% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +3.1% -0.7%

2.9% of Nick Loftin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.4% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +18.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.8% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.1% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.9% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -21.4% -0.7%

18.4% of Nick Loftin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%