Matchup Machine

Nick Loftin

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matchup for Martin Perez

61st out of 436 (Best 15%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Nick Loftin

117th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Moderate advantage for Loftin
4

Model Prediction

Nick Loftin has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 2.0% higher than Loftin's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%24.2%1.9%4.6%17.8%7.3%11.6%
Loftin+2.0+2.5+0.3-0.2+2.5-0.5-4.6
Perez-3.1-1.1-1.2-0.8+0.9-2.0-6.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Loftin is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Loftin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Nick Loftin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.4% of Nick Loftin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -9.5% -6.1% 5%         Walk +1.9% -0.3% 49%         In Play +7.6% +6.4% 39%         On Base +2.8% +5.9% 31%         Hit +0.9% +6.3% 14%         Single +1.2% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -1.9% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years