Matchup Machine

Spencer Torkelson

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

91st out of 436 (Best 22%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for S. Torkelson

159th out of 567 (Best 29%)

Leans in favor of Torkelson
2

Model Prediction

Spencer Torkelson has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.7% higher than Torkelson's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%18.8%3.7%3.9%11.3%14.9%33.8%
Torkelson+2.7-0.3+0.9-0.4-0.8+3.0+0.6
Flaherty-0.5-4.5+0.1-1.3-3.3+4.0+11.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Spencer Torkelson is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Torkelson has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Spencer Torkelson has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

18.1% of Spencer Torkelson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.9% +5.8% 3%         Walk +2.0% -1.5% 43%         In Play -8.0% -4.3% 39%         On Base -2.8% -2.0% 31%         Hit -4.8% -0.5% 14%         Single -2.8% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years