Matchup Machine

Spencer Torkelson

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matchup for Felix Bautista

77th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Felix Bautista

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matchup for S. Torkelson

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Bautista
9

Model Prediction

Spencer Torkelson has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 3.1% lower than Torkelson's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Bautista.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.9%12.8%2.5%2.1%8.2%15.1%46.6%
Torkelson-3.1-6.3-0.3-2.1-3.9+3.2+13.4
Bautista-1.1-3.6-0.1-0.9-2.7+2.5+10.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Spencer Torkelson is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Torkelson has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Spencer Torkelson has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
65%
   Splitter (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

18.1% of Spencer Torkelson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 25.5% of the batters he faces, which is 19.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.9% +19.3% 3%         Walk +2.0% +2.3% 43%         In Play -8.0% -21.6% 39%         On Base -2.8% -10.2% 31%         Hit -4.8% -12.5% 14%         Single -2.8% -5.8% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -5.4% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years