Matchup Machine

      Spencer Torkelson

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      matchup for J. Loaisiga

      53rd out of 436 (Best 13%)

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      Jonathan Loaisiga

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      matchup for S. Torkelson

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Strong advantage for Loaisiga
      6

      Model Prediction

      Spencer Torkelson has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Jonathan Loaisiga, which is 2.8% lower than Torkelson's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Loaisiga.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Spencer Torkelson is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Jonathan Loaisiga is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Torkelson has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Jonathan Loaisiga throws a Sinker 39% of the time. Spencer Torkelson has a C- grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      39%
         4-Seam (R)
      22%
         Curve (R)
      22%
         Changeup (R)
      15%

      Contact and Outcomes

      18.1% of Spencer Torkelson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Jonathan Loaisiga strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.9% +0.7% 3%         Walk +2.0% -0.3% 43%         In Play -7.8% -0.4% 39%         On Base -2.6% -4.1% 31%         Hit -4.5% -3.8% 14%         Single -2.6% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -2.2% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -2.5%

      History

      Spencer Torkelson has 1 plate appearance against Jonathan Loaisiga in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.050.000.000.050.052
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-09-05Groundout5%95%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.