Matchup Machine

Spencer Torkelson

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matchup for Yonny Chirinos

105th out of 436 (Best 25%)

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Yonny Chirinos

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matchup for S. Torkelson

124th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Torkelson
3

Model Prediction

Spencer Torkelson has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 2.3% higher than Torkelson's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Chirinos.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%21.0%3.0%4.5%13.6%12.3%26.7%
Torkelson+2.3+1.9+0.2+0.3+1.5+0.4-6.4
Chirinos-0.8-2.8-0.1-0.7-2.0+2.1+7.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Spencer Torkelson is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Torkelson has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Spencer Torkelson has a C- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
20%

Contact and Outcomes

18.1% of Spencer Torkelson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.9% -7.8% 3%         Walk +2.0% -0.6% 43%         In Play -8.0% +8.3% 39%         On Base -2.8% +2.3% 31%         Hit -4.8% +2.9% 14%         Single -2.8% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +1.4% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years