Matchup Machine

Spencer Torkelson

Worst 12% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 22% of matchups for S. Torkelson

Extreme advantage for Torkelson

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.0%	4.2%	14.5%	10.6%	15.7%
MLB (+/-)	+1.2	-0.1	+0.5	+0.9	-9.5
Torkelson	+0.2	+0.3	+1.6	-2.3	-9.8
Gomber	+0.8	-0.2	-1.8	+2.8	-0.6

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.0%

4.2%

14.5%

10.6%

15.7%

MLB (+/-)

+1.2

-0.1

+0.5

+0.9

-9.5

Torkelson

+0.2

+0.3

+1.6

-2.3

-9.8

Gomber

+0.8

-0.2

-1.8

+2.8

-0.6

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			1.18	0.00	0.01	1.16			.235

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-30	Lineout			79%	21%
2023-06-30	Groundout			8%	92%
2023-06-30	Flyout				99%
2022-04-23	Strikeout
2022-04-23	Groundout			29%	71%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	50%	97	RHB vs LHP	-14	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

50%

RHB vs LHP

-14

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐	46%	76	Fastball	16	45%
	33%	57	Breaking	-26	37%
	17%	29	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐	47%	73	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
	47%	37	Slider	-6	20%
	61%	29	Changeup	0	18%
⭐⭐	44%	102	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐

46%

Fastball

45%

33%

Breaking

-26

37%

17%

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐

47%

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

47%

Slider

-6

20%

61%

Changeup

18%

⭐⭐

44%

102

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	66%	47	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐⭐	78%	95	Top of zone	-3	12%
⭐⭐	69%	113	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
	67%	26	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
	76%	43	Middle	-23	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

66%

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐⭐

78%

Top of zone

-3

12%

⭐⭐

69%

113

Away / Arm Side

11%

67%

In / Glove Side

-29

10%

76%

Middle

-23

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	38%	35	Below the zone	22	30%
	28%	45	In / Glove Side	30	24%
	28%	29	Above the zone	8	24%
⭐	32%	64	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

38%

Below the zone

30%

28%

In / Glove Side

24%

28%

Above the zone

24%

⭐

32%

Away / Arm Side

-3

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	30%	32	First Pitch	10	28%
	56%	44	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐	51%	63	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐	65%	67	2 Strikes	-23	26%
⭐	62%	67	3 Balls	2	8%
⭐⭐	77%	104	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

30%

First Pitch

28%

56%

Batter Behind

28%

⭐

51%

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐

65%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

⭐

62%

3 Balls

⭐⭐

77%

104

Full Count

-9