Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Spencer Torkelson

matchup for Jose Quintana

117th out of 436 (Best 28%)

Jose Quintana

matchup for S. Torkelson

256th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Leans in favor of Quintana

Spencer Torkelson has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Jose Quintana, which is 1.2% higher than Torkelson's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Quintana.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.2%	19.3%	2.0%	4.3%	12.9%	12.9%	28.2%
Torkelson	+1.2	+0.1	-0.8	+0.1	+0.8	+1.0	-5.0
Quintana	+0.0	-2.7	0.0	-0.8	-1.9	+2.7	+7.1

Spencer Torkelson is much better vs left-handed pitching. Jose Quintana is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Torkelson has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jose Quintana throws a 4-seam fastball 31% of the time. Spencer Torkelson has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

31%

Curve (L)

28%

Sinker (L)

24%

Changeup (L)

17%

23% of Jose Quintana's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Torkelson has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

37% of Jose Quintana's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Torkelson has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 37%

+22%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

Small Break 17%

+9%

18.1% of Spencer Torkelson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Jose Quintana strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.9% +0.4% 3%

Walk +2.0% -1.1% 43%

In Play -8.0% +0.7% 39%

On Base -2.8% +1.3% 31%

Hit -4.8% +2.5% 14%

Single -2.8% +1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.4% +1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.4% -0.8%

31.8% of Spencer Torkelson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Jose Quintana induces Standard Grounders at a 34.9% rate, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% +0.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% +2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.5% 0.0% 9%

Rising Liner -3.0% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.9% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.5% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +0.0% 3%

Pop up +2.7% -0.8%

30.0% of Spencer Torkelson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. 22.2% of batted balls allowed by Jose Quintana are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.3% -0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.5% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.7% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.1% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.7% -2.1%

13.4% of Spencer Torkelson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 10.0% of batted balls allowed by Jose Quintana are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.7% -2.4% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.3% +3.0% 8%

1 to 6° -3.8% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -4.1% -0.1% 15%

19 to 28° -0.2% +1.7% 11%

29 to 38° +1.9% -1.4% 7%

39 to 50° -1.0% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° +6.1% -1.2%

Spencer Torkelson has 4 plate appearances against Jose Quintana in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			1.34	0.17	0.52	0.65			0.335

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-06-07	Groundout			10%	90%
2022-06-07	Double	17%	46%	2%	35%
2022-05-04	Groundout			49%	50%
2022-05-04	Groundout		5%	3%	91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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