Matchup Machine

Johan Rojas

sometext

matchup for Slade Cecconi

71st out of 436 (Best 17%)

sometext

Slade Cecconi

sometext

matchup for Johan Rojas

116th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Leans in favor of Cecconi
1

Model Prediction

Johan Rojas has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Slade Cecconi, which is 1.3% higher than Rojas's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Cecconi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.0%25.7%1.6%5.6%18.6%3.3%17.1%
Rojas+1.3+2.3+0.2+0.9+1.2-1.1-3.7
Cecconi-2.6+0.4-1.8-0.5+2.6-3.0-4.9

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Johan Rojas is better vs right-handed pitching. Slade Cecconi is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rojas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Slade Cecconi throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Johan Rojas has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.3% of Johan Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Slade Cecconi strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.2% -4.8% 6%         Walk -4.3% -4.3% 37%         In Play +6.6% +9.0% 39%         On Base +1.4% -1.5% 31%         Hit +5.7% +2.8% 14%         Single +3.8% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -2.1% +1.4%

History

Johan Rojas has 4 plate appearances against Slade Cecconi in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441001100.250
Expected From Contact →1.480.000.021.460.369
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-08Strikeout
2024-08-08Groundout37%63%
2023-10-21Single
2023-10-17Groundout19%81%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.