matchup for Reid Detmers
matchup for Johan Rojas
6
Johan Rojas has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Reid Detmers, which is 0.5% higher than Rojas's typical expectations, and 3.9% lower than batters facing Detmers.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 28.3% | 23.2% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 17.1% | 5.1% | 31.1% |
| Rojas | +0.5 | -0.2 | +0.3 | -0.2 | -0.3 | +0.7 | +10.3 |
| Detmers | -3.9 | +1.3 | -1.6 | -0.7 | +3.7 | -5.2 | -1.4 |
Johan Rojas is worse vs left-handed pitching. Reid Detmers is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rojas doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Reid Detmers throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Johan Rojas has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
43%
Slider (L)
28%
Curve (L)
18%
Changeup (L)
9%
10% of Reid Detmers's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Johan Rojas has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
10%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
-1%
Non-Competitive
12%
-1%
Likely Ball
19%
-1%
Meatball
4%
-1%
46% of Reid Detmers's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Johan Rojas hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Breaking (L)
46%
+16%
Extreme Drop
18%
+14%
Slow Lob
15%
+12%
Large Break
30%
+8%
13.3% of Johan Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Reid Detmers strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.2%
+6.5%
6%
Walk
-4.3%
+0.1%
37%
In Play
+6.6%
-6.6%
39%
On Base
+1.4%
-3.1%
31%
Hit
+5.7%
-3.2%
14%
Single
+3.8%
-2.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+4.0%
-1.9%
3%
Home Run
-2.1%
+1.1%
40.1% of Johan Rojas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Reid Detmers induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+4.5%
-0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
+5.7%
-5.4%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.1%
+0.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.6%
-1.4%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.3%
+1.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
-2.4%
-0.7%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.2%
+1.6%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
-0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-7.2%
+2.6%
3%
Pop up
+2.6%
+1.9%
18.9% of Johan Rojas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. 22.0% of batted balls allowed by Reid Detmers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+12.7%
-3.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.0%
+2.7%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.9%
+3.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-5.4%
-0.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-5.4%
-2.3%
8.0% of Johan Rojas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Reid Detmers are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+9.3%
-3.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
+4.6%
-1.0%
8%
1 to 6°
-3.5%
-0.4%
18%
7 to 18°
-2.4%
+0.4%
15%
19 to 28°
-3.7%
+2.6%
11%
29 to 38°
-3.4%
-1.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.0%
+0.0%
8%
Above 50°
+0.1%
+3.1%
Johan Rojas has 2 plate appearances against Reid Detmers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.29 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1.10 | 0.647 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-08-30 | Single | 2% | 93% | 5% | |
| 2023-08-30 | Lineout | 17% | 17% | 66% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
