Johan Rojas has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.6% lower than Rojas's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Bradley.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 27.2% | 23.3% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 18.1% | 3.9% | 20.2% |
Rojas | -0.6 | -0.1 | +0.1 | -0.9 | +0.7 | -0.5 | -0.7 |
Bradley | -3.6 | +0.7 | -1.1 | -1.1 | +2.9 | -4.3 | -6.1 |
Johan Rojas is better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rojas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Johan Rojas has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
15% of Taj Bradley's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Johan Rojas has a C grade against this type of pitch.
36% of Taj Bradley's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Johan Rojas has a C grade against this type of pitch.
13.3% of Johan Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
40.1% of Johan Rojas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Taj Bradley induces Standard Grounders at a 31.5% rate, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
18.9% of Johan Rojas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Taj Bradley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
8.0% of Johan Rojas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Taj Bradley are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Johan Rojas has 3 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.81 | 0.03 | 0.65 | 0.13 | 0.271 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-09-10 | Double | 3% | 65% | 8% | 24% |
2024-09-10 | Groundout | 5% | 95% | ||
2024-09-10 | Flyout | 100% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.