Matchup Machine

Johan Rojas

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matchup for Logan Gillaspie

76th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Logan Gillaspie

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matchup for Johan Rojas

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Gillaspie
2

Model Prediction

Johan Rojas has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 1.2% higher than Rojas's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Gillaspie.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.0%26.0%1.2%5.2%19.6%3.0%15.1%
Rojas+1.2+2.5-0.1+0.5+2.2-1.4-5.7
Gillaspie-2.6+0.7-1.4-0.3+2.5-3.3-4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Johan Rojas is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rojas doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Johan Rojas has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
46%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.3% of Johan Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.2% -9.1% 6%         Walk -4.3% -5.0% 37%         In Play +6.6% +14.2% 39%         On Base +1.4% +11.5% 31%         Hit +5.7% +16.6% 14%         Single +3.8% +8.6% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% +7.8% 3%         Home Run -2.1% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years