Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Johan Rojas

matchup for Alex Speas

23rd out of 436 (Best 6%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Johan Rojas

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Speas

Johan Rojas has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 0.2% higher than Rojas's typical expectations, and 6.3% lower than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.6%	21.2%	1.3%	4.9%	14.9%	6.4%	21.9%
Rojas	-0.2	-2.2	0.0	+0.2	-2.5	+2.1	+1.1
Speas	-6.3	+0.1	-1.2	-0.2	+1.5	-6.4	-2.5

Johan Rojas is better vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rojas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Johan Rojas hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Johan Rojas has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Johan Rojas has an F grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

13.3% of Johan Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.2% +19.9% 6%

Walk -4.3% -0.6% 37%

In Play +6.6% -19.3% 39%

On Base +1.4% -8.2% 31%

Hit +5.7% -7.6% 14%

Single +3.8% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B +4.0% -5.2% 3%

Home Run -2.1% +3.3%

40.3% of Johan Rojas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +4.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.9% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.2% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -0.7% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.4% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.3% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -7.4% -7.4% 3%

Pop up +2.6% +8.5%

19.0% of Johan Rojas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +12.6% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.5% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.3% -10.5%

7.9% of Johan Rojas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%