Matchup Machine

Johan Rojas

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matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

34th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Elvin Rodriguez

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matchup for Johan Rojas

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Rojas
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Model Prediction

Johan Rojas has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 3.8% higher than Rojas's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%26.4%1.3%5.1%20.0%5.2%19.7%
Rojas+3.8+3.0-0.1+0.4+2.6+0.8-1.1
Rodriguez-3.7+1.8-1.7-0.9+4.3-5.4-2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Johan Rojas is better vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Johan Rojas has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

13.3% of Johan Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.2% +6.5% 6%         Walk -4.3% +4.1% 37%         In Play +6.6% -10.5% 39%         On Base +1.4% +8.4% 31%         Hit +5.7% +4.3% 14%         Single +3.8% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% +0.5% 3%         Home Run -2.1% +3.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years