Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Johan Rojas

matchup for Aaron Nola

27th out of 436 (Best 7%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Johan Rojas

494th out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Johan Rojas has a 24.5% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 3.3% lower than Rojas's typical expectations, and 4.9% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	24.5%	21.2%	1.3%	4.9%	15.1%	3.3%	28.0%
Rojas	-3.3	-2.2	-0.1	+0.2	-2.3	-1.1	+7.2
Nola	-4.9	-1.2	-1.7	-1.4	+1.9	-3.8	-2.9

Johan Rojas is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rojas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Johan Rojas hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Johan Rojas hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Johan Rojas hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

13.3% of Johan Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.2% +6.3% 6%

Walk -4.3% -2.8% 37%

In Play +6.6% -3.5% 39%

On Base +1.4% -4.8% 31%

Hit +5.7% -2.0% 14%

Single +3.8% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +4.0% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -2.1% -0.5%

40.3% of Johan Rojas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +4.4% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.9% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.2% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.7% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.4% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.3% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -7.4% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +2.6% -0.7%

19.0% of Johan Rojas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +12.6% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.5% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.3% -0.7%

7.9% of Johan Rojas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%