Matchup Machine

Johan Rojas

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

38th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Johan Rojas

184th out of 567 (Best 33%)

Leans in favor of Anderson
2

Model Prediction

Johan Rojas has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.7% higher than Rojas's typical expectations, and 4.2% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.5%24.5%1.5%4.6%18.5%5.0%19.9%
Rojas+1.7+1.1+0.2-0.1+1.1+0.6-0.9
Anderson-4.2+2.3-1.4-0.7+4.3-6.5-1.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Johan Rojas is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rojas doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Johan Rojas has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.3% of Johan Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.2% -1.9% 6%         Walk -4.3% -1.0% 37%         In Play +6.6% +2.9% 39%         On Base +1.4% -0.1% 31%         Hit +5.7% +0.9% 14%         Single +3.8% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -0.2%

History

Johan Rojas has 4 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual440000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.690.000.010.680.173
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-30Forceout27%73%
2024-04-30Flyout2%98%
2023-08-29GIDP38%62%
2023-08-29Lineout2%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.