Matchup Machine

Ceddanne Rafaela

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matchup for Bryce Miller

10th out of 436 (Best 3%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for C. Rafaela

533rd out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Extreme advantage for Miller
10

Model Prediction

Ceddanne Rafaela has a 21.5% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 4.3% lower than Rafaela's typical expectations, and 7.7% lower than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction21.5%17.7%2.0%4.1%11.7%3.8%39.8%
Rafaela-4.3-3.8-0.6-1.2-2.0-0.5+10.0
Miller-7.7-2.7-0.3-0.3-2.1-5.0+10.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Ceddanne Rafaela is better vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rafaela has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ceddanne Rafaela has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Ceddanne Rafaela's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.3% +0.2% 7%         Walk -6.1% -2.5% 38%         In Play +2.8% +2.3% 39%         On Base -4.1% -3.2% 31%         Hit +2.0% -0.7% 14%         Single +0.3% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.8% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +0.9% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years