Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ceddanne Rafaela

matchup for Ryan Weathers

5th out of 436 (Best 2%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for C. Rafaela

519th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Extreme advantage for Weathers

Ceddanne Rafaela has a 21.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 4.3% lower than Rafaela's typical expectations, and 8.3% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	21.6%	18.3%	1.6%	4.3%	12.4%	3.3%	34.2%
Rafaela	-4.3	-3.3	-1.0	-1.1	-1.3	-1.0	+4.5
Weathers	-8.3	-3.2	-0.4	-1.3	-1.5	-5.1	+9.5

Ceddanne Rafaela is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Rafaela doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Ceddanne Rafaela has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Ceddanne Rafaela has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Ceddanne Rafaela has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

16.6% of Ceddanne Rafaela's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.3% -2.1% 7%

Walk -6.1% -0.6% 38%

In Play +2.8% +2.7% 39%

On Base -4.1% +0.9% 31%

Hit +2.0% +1.5% 14%

Single +0.3% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +0.8% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -0.5%

34.8% of Ceddanne Rafaela's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.7% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.4% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.3% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +0.2% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.7% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.8% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +1.2%

19.2% of Ceddanne Rafaela's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +7.8% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.7% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.5% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.1% +1.1%

11.0% of Ceddanne Rafaela's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%