Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ceddanne Rafaela

matchup for Tanner Houck

22nd out of 436 (Best 6%)

Tanner Houck

matchup for C. Rafaela

334th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Strong advantage for Houck

Ceddanne Rafaela has a 25.2% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.7% lower than Rafaela's typical expectations, and 6.6% lower than batters facing Houck.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.2%	20.7%	1.9%	5.2%	13.6%	4.5%	25.1%
Rafaela	-0.7	-0.9	-0.7	-0.1	-0.1	+0.3	-4.7
Houck	-6.6	-1.4	-0.3	+0.9	-2.0	-5.2	+5.4

Ceddanne Rafaela is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rafaela has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Ceddanne Rafaela has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

40%

Sinker (R)

28%

Splitter (R)

15%

4-Seam (R)

14%

10% of Tanner Houck's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ceddanne Rafaela has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

53% of Tanner Houck's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 41% higher than the MLB average. Ceddanne Rafaela has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 53%

+41%

Large Break 17%

+12%

Breaking (R) 40%

+9%

Very Slow Velo 22%

+9%

16.6% of Ceddanne Rafaela's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.3% -1.6% 7%

Walk -6.1% +0.2% 38%

In Play +2.8% +1.4% 39%

On Base -4.1% +0.4% 31%

Hit +2.0% +0.3% 14%

Single +0.3% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B +0.8% +0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -0.9%

34.8% of Ceddanne Rafaela's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck induces Standard Grounders at a 41.9% rate, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.7% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.4% +7.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.3% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer +0.2% -5.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.7% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.8% -2.8% 3%

Pop up +1.3% -0.9%

19.2% of Ceddanne Rafaela's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. 30.6% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Houck are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +7.8% -0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.7% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% -4.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.5% -0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.1% +6.3%

11.0% of Ceddanne Rafaela's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Houck are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%