matchup for Jose Berrios
matchup for C. Rafaela
6
Ceddanne Rafaela has a 26.4% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 0.2% higher than Rafaela's typical expectations, and 5.9% lower than batters facing Berrios.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 26.4% | 22.7% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 15.7% | 3.6% | 26.7% |
| Rafaela | +0.2 | +0.9 | -0.4 | -0.6 | +1.8 | -0.6 | -2.3 |
| Berrios | -5.9 | -1.9 | -0.7 | -0.3 | -0.9 | -4.0 | +4.5 |
Ceddanne Rafaela is better vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rafaela has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Ceddanne Rafaela has a D+ grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
30%
Curve (R)
30%
4-Seam (R)
23%
Changeup (R)
16%
18% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Ceddanne Rafaela has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Weak Challenge
9%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Mid Challenge
11%
0%
Meatball
4%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
31% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Ceddanne Rafaela has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
31%
+17%
Low Ride
39%
+15%
Very Slow Velo
26%
+12%
16.5% of Ceddanne Rafaela's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+3.2%
+0.8%
7%
Walk
-6.1%
-0.8%
38%
In Play
+2.9%
+0.0%
39%
On Base
-4.2%
-0.4%
31%
Hit
+1.9%
+0.4%
14%
Single
+0.3%
0.0%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.7%
+0.3%
3%
Home Run
+0.9%
+0.2%
35.2% of Ceddanne Rafaela's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+2.7%
-0.4%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.8%
+0.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.3%
-0.8%
14%
Low Screamer
0.0%
-0.4%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.5%
+1.6%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.5%
+0.7%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.4%
+0.5%
1%
No Doubter
+0.7%
+0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-2.0%
-1.7%
3%
Pop up
+1.4%
+0.1%
19.3% of Ceddanne Rafaela's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. 26.3% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+7.7%
+0.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.5%
-0.8%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.4%
-0.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.2%
-1.1%
24%
Above 100 mph
-5.0%
+2.0%
10.7% of Ceddanne Rafaela's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+2.8%
-1.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.1%
+0.5%
8%
1 to 6°
-3.5%
-0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.6%
+1.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.7%
+0.2%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.7%
+0.3%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.3%
-0.1%
8%
Above 50°
+0.6%
-0.7%
Ceddanne Rafaela has 3 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.152 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-09-15 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-09-15 | Groundout | 22% | 78% | ||
| 2023-09-15 | Single | 23% | 77% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
