Matchup Machine

Jhonkensy Noel

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matchup for Corbin Burnes

19th out of 436 (Best 5%)

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Corbin Burnes

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matchup for Jhonkensy Noel

409th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Strong advantage for Burnes
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Model Prediction

Jhonkensy Noel has a 24.1% chance of reaching base vs Corbin Burnes, which is 1.5% lower than Noel's typical expectations, and 5.7% lower than batters facing Burnes.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.1%18.9%2.8%4.1%12.0%5.2%32.8%
Noel-1.5-0.4-0.6-0.6+0.7-1.1-0.7
Burnes-5.7-3.0+0.4-0.3-3.1-2.7+9.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jhonkensy Noel is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Corbin Burnes is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Noel doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Corbin Burnes throws a Cutter 52% of the time. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
52%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Slider (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

25.2% of Jhonkensy Noel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.1% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout +8.1% +3.2% 6%         Walk -1.2% -1.6% 53%         In Play -7.0% -1.6% 39%         On Base -7.2% -3.4% 31%         Hit -6.1% -1.8% 14%         Single -4.6% -0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -4.2% -0.2% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years