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Jhonkensy Noel

matchup for Cole Ragans

24th out of 436 (Best 6%)

Cole Ragans

matchup for Jhonkensy Noel

499th out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Extreme advantage for Ragans

Jhonkensy Noel has a 22.8% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 3.4% lower than Noel's typical expectations, and 7.6% lower than batters facing Ragans.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	22.8%	15.0%	2.8%	4.2%	8.0%	7.8%	40.3%
Noel	-3.4	-4.3	-0.6	-0.5	-3.2	+1.0	+6.7
Ragans	-7.6	-2.9	+0.3	-0.3	-3.0	-4.6	+8.5

Jhonkensy Noel is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Noel doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

42%

Changeup (L)

24%

Cutter (L)

13%

Slider (L)

10%

Kn-Curve (L)

21% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

Offspeed (L) 24%

+12%

Very Fast Velo 14%

+11%

High Ride 20%

+10%

25.2% of Jhonkensy Noel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.1% higher than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout +8.1% +4.4% 6%

Walk -1.2% +1.2% 53%

In Play -7.0% -5.6% 39%

On Base -6.9% -1.8% 31%

Hit -5.8% -3.0% 14%

Single -4.1% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -4.3% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.3%

32.8% of Jhonkensy Noel's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans induces Standard Grounders at a 30.5% rate, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.9% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.6% -3.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -6.1% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer +1.7% +1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -3.4% +2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.5% -2.3% 3%

Likely Homer +3.2% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter +5.8% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.3% -2.2% 3%

Pop up +8.9% +1.4%

33.2% of Jhonkensy Noel's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.9% higher than the league average. 18.7% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.9% +3.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.0% -0.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -10.2% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +8.9% -5.6%

15.0% of Jhonkensy Noel's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.5% +3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% -4.2% 8%

1 to 6° -6.3% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -10.1% +3.0% 15%

19 to 28° +0.3% -5.3% 11%

29 to 38° +3.6% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° +2.2% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° +8.5% +1.6%

Jhonkensy Noel has 6 plate appearances against Cole Ragans in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run, 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	4	1	1	0	0	2	2	0.250
Expected From Contact →			1.00	0.92	0.08	0.00			0.250

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2025-03-27	Sac Fly
2024-08-26	Strikeout
2024-08-26	Walk
2024-06-29	Walk
2024-06-29	Home Run	92%	8%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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