Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jhonkensy Noel

matchup for Chris Paddack

16th out of 436 (Best 4%)

Chris Paddack

matchup for Jhonkensy Noel

263rd out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Paddack

Jhonkensy Noel has a 24.4% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 1.2% lower than Noel's typical expectations, and 5.8% lower than batters facing Paddack.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	24.4%	19.7%	4.0%	5.0%	10.8%	4.7%	30.5%
Noel	-1.2	+0.4	+0.6	+0.4	-0.5	-1.7	-3.0
Paddack	-5.8	-4.0	+0.6	-0.6	-4.0	-1.8	+8.2

Jhonkensy Noel is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Noel doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

43% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+16%

Fast Velo 26%

+10%

25.2% of Jhonkensy Noel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.1% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout +8.1% +4.3% 6%

Walk -1.2% -3.2% 53%

In Play -7.0% -1.1% 39%

On Base -7.2% -3.8% 31%

Hit -6.1% -0.6% 14%

Single -4.6% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -4.2% -0.1% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.0%

34.4% of Jhonkensy Noel's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder 0.0% -5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -5.9% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.5% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner -3.4% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.3% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +4.0% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter +6.0% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -8.0% +0.3% 3%

Pop up +9.0% +0.3%

35.6% of Jhonkensy Noel's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.3% higher than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.7% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.3% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.7% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -10.6% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.3% +5.8%

15.4% of Jhonkensy Noel's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%