Matchup Machine

Jhonkensy Noel

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matchup for Yonny Chirinos

50th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Yonny Chirinos

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matchup for Jhonkensy Noel

59th out of 567 (Best 11%)

Leans in favor of Noel
2

Model Prediction

Jhonkensy Noel has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 4.0% higher than Noel's typical expectations, and 4.5% lower than batters facing Chirinos.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.6%21.8%4.1%5.5%12.2%7.8%29.4%
Noel+4.0+2.5+0.7+0.8+0.9+1.5-4.0
Chirinos-4.5-2.1+1.1+0.3-3.4-2.5+9.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Jhonkensy Noel is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Noel doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Jhonkensy Noel hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
20%

Contact and Outcomes

25.2% of Jhonkensy Noel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.1% higher than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout +8.1% -7.8% 6%         Walk -1.2% -0.6% 53%         In Play -7.0% +8.3% 39%         On Base -7.2% +2.3% 31%         Hit -6.1% +2.9% 14%         Single -4.6% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -4.2% +1.4% 3%         Home Run +2.7% +0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years